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Fukushima: George Monbiot bekeert zich tot kernenergie

Geen categorie27 mrt 2011, 16:30
George Monbiot is een van de bekendste Britse apostelen van het broeikasevangelie en groen tot op het bot. Hij is vergelijkbaar met Martijn van Calmthout, chef van de wetenschapsredactie van de Volkskrant, in Nederland. Des te opvallender was het dat hij destijds, toen het Climategate-schandaal bekend werd, als een van de eersten riep om het aftreden van de hoofrolspeler in deze affaire: Phil Jones, directeur van de Climatic Research Unit van de Universiteit van East Anglia. In Nederland hielden alle vooraanstaande vertegenwoordigers van het klimaatcomplex tot op heden hun mond stijf dicht over deze zaak. Maar dat terzijde.
Tot ieders verbazing heeft Monbiot zich nu naar aanleiding van de ongelukken in de nucleaire centrales in Fukushima bekeerd tot kernenergie, waarbij hij en passant forse kritiek uitoefent op zijn groene vrienden (hoe lang zal die vriendschap overigens nog duren?), zoals blijkt uit zijn column in 'The Guardian'. Hoe heeft hij die draai kunnen maken?
Onder de 'dr. Strangelove'-achtige titel: 'Why Fukushima made me stop worrying and love nuclear power', schrijft Monbiot:

You will not be surprised to hear that the events in Japan have changed my view of nuclear power. You will be surprised to hear how they have changed it. As a result of the disaster at Fukushima, I am no longer nuclear-neutral. I now support the technology. A crappy old plant with inadequate safety features was hit by a monster earthquake and a vast tsunami. The electricity supply failed, knocking out the cooling system. The reactors began to explode and melt down. The disaster exposed a familiar legacy of poor design and corner-cutting. Yet, as far as we know, no one has yet received a lethal dose of radiation.

Some greens have wildly exaggerated the dangers of radioactive pollution. For a clearer view, look at the graphic published by xkcd.com. It shows that the average total dose from the Three Mile Island disaster for someone living within 10 miles of the plant was one 625th of the maximum yearly amount permitted for US radiation workers. This, in turn, is half of the lowest one-year dose clearly linked to an increased cancer risk, which, in its turn, is one 80th of an invariably fatal exposure. I'm not proposing complacency here. I am proposing perspective.

Monbiot geeft voorts een interessant overzicht van het groene energie-utopia van vóór de industriële revolutie. Hij schrijft daarover:

The damming and weiring of British rivers for watermills was small-scale, renewable, picturesque and devastating. By blocking the rivers and silting up the spawning beds, they helped bring to an end the gigantic runs of migratory fish that were once among our great natural spectacles and which fed much of Britain – wiping out sturgeon, lampreys and shad, as well as most sea trout and salmon.

Traction was intimately linked with starvation. The more land that was set aside for feeding draft animals for industry and transport, the less was available for feeding humans. It was the 17th-century equivalent of today's biofuels crisis. The same applied to heating fuel. As EA Wrigley points out in his book Energy and the English Industrial Revolution, the 11m tonnes of coal mined in England in 1800 produced as much energy as 11m acres of woodland (one third of the land surface) would have generated. Before coal became widely available, wood was used not just for heating homes but also for industrial processes: if half the land surface of Britain had been covered with woodland, Wrigley shows, we could have made 1.25m tonnes of bar iron a year (a fraction of current consumption) and nothing else. Even with a much lower population than today's, manufactured goods in the land-based economy were the preserve of the elite. Deep green energy production – decentralised, based on the products of the land – is far more damaging to humanity than nuclear meltdown.

Maar zijn bekering tot kernenergie gaat niet ècht van harte:

Yes, I still loathe the liars who run the nuclear industry. [Noot HL: Zou hij dezelfde gevoelens koesteren ten aanzien van de 'liars who run the climate industry'?] Yes, I would prefer to see the entire sector shut down, if there were harmless alternatives. But there are no ideal solutions. Every energy technology carries a cost; so does the absence of energy technologies. Atomic energy has just been subjected to one of the harshest of possible tests, and the impact on people and the planet has been small. The crisis at Fukushima has converted me to the cause of nuclear power.

Lees verder 'hier'.
Op de onvolprezen website van de Groene Rekenkamer is de Nederlandse vertaling van Monbiot's artikel te vinden.
Tja, zo gaat dat vaak in het leven. Als men over een beperkt aantal opties beschikt, dient men voor de minst kwade te kiezen.
Overigens een moedig man die Monbiot!
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